Political regimes and civil wars: a methodological discussion
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5433/2176-6665.2012v17n1p235Keywords:
Civil war, Political regimes, DatasetsAbstract
Civil war is a form of collective violence most important of our time. Although the literature has highlighted the relationship between certain variables and the onset of civil wars, the influence of political regimes in internal conflicts is still controversial. This study aims to contribute to this debate. The objectives of this paper are to discuss the contemporary definitions of civil wars, and to evaluate critically the quantitative bases more common in comparative politics and comment on their suitability for research on civil wars and, finally, suggest possible solutions that could be methodological used to analyze more accurately the impact of the schemes at the beginning of the civil wars.References
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HEGRE, Håvard; SAMBANIS, Nicholas. Sensitivity analysis of empirical results on civil war onset. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Newbury Park, v. 50, n. 4, p. 508- 535, ago. 2006.
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STRAND, Havard. Retreating from a civil democratic peace? revisiting the relationship between political institutions and civil war. 2007.
UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM/PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE OSLO. Armed Conflict Dataset, 2009.
VANHANEN, Tatu. A new dataset for measuring democracy, 1810–1998. Journal of Peace Research, London, v. 37, n. 2, p. 251–265, mar. 2000.
VREELAND, James Raymond. The effect of political regime on civil war: unpacking anocracy. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Newbury Park, v. 52, n. 3, p. 401-425, jun. 2008.
WEGENAST, Tim. Inclusive Institutions and the Onset of Internal Conflict in Resource-rich Countries. GIGA Working Papers, Hamburgo, n. 126,p. 1-36, mar. 2010.
ZIMERMAN, Artur. Peguem a foice e vamos à luta: determinantes agrários da guerra civil. São Paulo: Humanitas, 2008.
ZIMERMAN, Artur; ALVES, Hélio Ricardo do Couto. Governmental repression and Likelihood of civil war onset: world analysis, 1981-19997. Revista de Ciência Política, Rio de Janeiro, v. 27, n. 2, p. 49-65, 2007.
BLATTMAN, Christopher; MIGUEL, Edward. Civil war. Journal of Economic Literature, Nashville, v. 48, n. 1, p. 3-57, mar. 2010.
CAREY, Sabine C. Rebellion in Africa: disaggregating the effect of political regimes. Journal of Peace Research, London, v. 44, n. 1, p. 47-64, jan. 2007.
COLLIER, Paul; HOEFFLER, Anke. Greed and grievance in civil war. Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford, v. 56, n. 4, p. 563-595, ago. 2004.
COLLIER, Paul; SAMBANIS, Nicholas (org.). Understanding civil war: evidence and analysis. Washington: World Bank Publications, 2005. v. 1.
DAHL, Robert. Poliarquia: participação e oposição. São Paulo: Universidade de São Paulo, 1997.
DIXON, Jeffrey. What causes civil wars? integrating quantitative research findings. International Studies Review, v. 11, n. 4, p. 707-735, dez. 2009.
FEARON, James. Civil war since 1945: some facts and a theory. In: ENCONTRO ANUAL DA ASSOCIAÇÃO AMERICANA DE CIÊNCIA POLÍTICA, 2005, Washington. Anais... Washington, 2005. p. 1-35.
FEARON, James; LAITIN, David. Ethnicity, insurgency and civil war. American Political Science Review, Baltimore, v. 97, n. 1, p. 75-90, feb. 2003.
FJELDE, Hanne. Generals, dictators and kings: authoritarian regimes and civil conflict, 1973–2004. Conflict Management and Peace Science, v. 27, n. 3, p. 195-218, jul. 2010.
FREEDOM HOUSE. Methodology. 2010.
GATES, Scott et al. Institutional inconsistency and political instability: polity duration, 1800-2000. American Journal of Political Science, Austin, v. 50, n. 4, p. 893–908, out. 2006.
GHOBARAH, Adam Hazen; HUTH, Paul; RUSSETT, Bruce. The post-war public health effects of civil conflict. Social Science and Medicine, v. 59, n. 4, p. 869-884, ago. 2004.
GLEDITSCH, Nils Petter et al. Armed conflict 1946-2001: a new dataset. Journal of Peace Research, London, v. 39, n. 5, p. 615-637, set. 2002.
GOERTZ, Gary. Social science concepts: a user’s guide. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.
HEGRE, Havard. Disentangling democracy and development as determinants of armed conflict. The World Bank, 9 jan. 2003.
HEGRE, Havard et al. Towards a democratic civil peace? democracy, political change and civil war, 1816-1992. American Political Science Review, Baltimore, v. 95, n. 1, p. 33-48, mar. 2001.
HEGRE, Håvard; SAMBANIS, Nicholas. Sensitivity analysis of empirical results on civil war onset. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Newbury Park, v. 50, n. 4, p. 508- 535, ago. 2006.
KALYVAS, Stathis. The logic of violence in civil war. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006.
KALYVAS, Stathis. Promises and Pirfalls of an emerging research program: the Microdynamics of civil war. In: KALYVAS, Stathis; SHAPIRO, Ian; MASOUD, Tarek (org.). Order, conflict and violence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008. p. 397-421.
KALYVAS, Stathis; KOCHER, Matthew Adam. How ‘Free’ is Free Riding in Civil Wars? violence, insurgency, and the collective action problem. World Politics, v. 59, n. 2, p. 177-216, jan. 2007.
KEEFER, Philip. DPI2010: database of political institutions: changes and variable definitions. 2010.
LACINA, Bethany. From side show to centre stage: civil conflict after the cold war. Security Dialog, v. 35, n. 2, p. 191-205, jun. 2004.
LAKE, David; ROTHCHILD, Donald. Containing fear: the origins and management of ethnic conflict. International Security, Cambridge, v. 21, n. 2, p. 41-75, out. 1996.
MARSHALL, Monty G.; GURR, Ted; JAGGERS, Keith. Polity IV Project: dataset users’ manual. Maryland: University of Maryland, 2009.
MUNCK, Gerardo; VERKUILEN, Jay. Conceptualizing and measuring democracy: evaluating alternative indices. Comparative Political Studies, Beverly Hills, v. 35, n. 1, p. 5-34, feb. 2002.
PAXTON, Pamela; BOLLEN, Kenneth; LEE, Deborah M.; KIM, HyoJoung. A HalfCentury of Suffrage: new data and a comparative analysis. Studies in Comparative International Development, Saint Louis, v. 38, n. 1, p. 93-122, 2003.
SAMBANIS, Nicholas. Using case studies to expand economic models of civil war. Perspectives on Politics, New York, v. 2, n. 2, p. 259-279, jul. 2004a.
SAMBANIS, Nicholas. What is civil war? conceptual and empirical complexities of an operational definition. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Newbury Park, v. 48, n. 6, p. 814-858, dez. 2004b.
SARKEES, Meredith Reid; SCHAFER, Phil. The correlates of war data on war: an update to 1997. Conflict Management and Peace Science, v. 18, n. 1, p. 123-144, feb. 2000.
STOHL, Michael et al. State violation of human rights: issues and problems of measurement. Humans Rights Quarterly, Baltimore, v. 8, n. 4, p. 592-606, nov. 1986.
STRAND, Havard. Reassessing the civil democratic peace. 2006.
STRAND, Havard. Retreating from a civil democratic peace? revisiting the relationship between political institutions and civil war. 2007.
UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM/PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE OSLO. Armed Conflict Dataset, 2009.
VANHANEN, Tatu. A new dataset for measuring democracy, 1810–1998. Journal of Peace Research, London, v. 37, n. 2, p. 251–265, mar. 2000.
VREELAND, James Raymond. The effect of political regime on civil war: unpacking anocracy. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Newbury Park, v. 52, n. 3, p. 401-425, jun. 2008.
WEGENAST, Tim. Inclusive Institutions and the Onset of Internal Conflict in Resource-rich Countries. GIGA Working Papers, Hamburgo, n. 126,p. 1-36, mar. 2010.
ZIMERMAN, Artur. Peguem a foice e vamos à luta: determinantes agrários da guerra civil. São Paulo: Humanitas, 2008.
ZIMERMAN, Artur; ALVES, Hélio Ricardo do Couto. Governmental repression and Likelihood of civil war onset: world analysis, 1981-19997. Revista de Ciência Política, Rio de Janeiro, v. 27, n. 2, p. 49-65, 2007.
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2012-03-18
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FREIRE, Danilo. Political regimes and civil wars: a methodological discussion. Mediações - Revista de Ciências Sociais, Londrina, v. 17, n. 1, p. 235–252, 2012. DOI: 10.5433/2176-6665.2012v17n1p235. Disponível em: https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/mediacoes/article/view/2012.v17n1p235. Acesso em: 30 jun. 2024.
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