Desigualdade Brasileira e Liberalização Comercial entre Brasil e China e entre Brasil e Estados Unidos

Abdoulaye Aboubacari Mohamed; Rayan Wolf; Fabrício Sepúlveda  Gomes; Ian Michael  Trotter

doi:10.5433/2317-627X.2024.v12.n2.48647

Autores

Abdoulaye Aboubacari Mohamed Universidade Federal da Paraíba https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2260-3956
Rayan Wolf Universidade Federal de Viçosa https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2355-982X
Fabrício Sepúlveda Gomes Universidade Federal de Viçosa https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7241-4953
Ian Michael Trotter Universidade Federal de Viçosa https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7508-4462

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5433/2317-627X.2024.v12.n2.48647

Palavras-chave:

liberalização comercial, desigualdade, PAEG

Resumo

Este estudo avaliou os possíveis efeitos de um acordo de liberalização comercial entre o Brasil e os Estados Unidos e entre o Brasil e a China sobre a desigualdade de renda, bem-estar e consumo das famílias brasileiras. Utilizamos o Projeto de Análise do Equilíbrio Geral (PAEG), modelo da economia brasileira que divide o país em cinco macrorregiões e categoriza os domicílios em dez grupos de renda por região. Os resultados sugerem que a eliminação das tarifas comerciais entre os EUA e o Brasil tende a diminuir as desigualdades de renda nas regiões subdesenvolvidas e aumentá-las nas regiões desenvolvidas. Da mesma forma, eliminar as tarifas comerciais entre a China e o Brasil tende a ampliar as desigualdades de renda nas regiões subdesenvolvidas e aliviá-las nas regiões desenvolvidas. Além disso, as famílias brasileiras experimentam maiores ganhos em bem-estar e consumo como resultado da remoção das tarifas comerciais entre a China e o Brasil. Este estudo contribui para o debate atual sobre a relação entre abertura comercial e desigualdade no Brasil.

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Biografia do Autor

Abdoulaye Aboubacari Mohamed, Universidade Federal da Paraíba

Doutor em Economia Aplicada pelo Departamento de Economia Rural da Universidade Federal de Viçosa - Brasil (2022). Pós-Doutorando na Universidade Federal de Paraíba (UFPB).

Rayan Wolf, Universidade Federal de Viçosa

Doutor em Economia Aplicada pela Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)

Fabrício Sepúlveda Gomes , Universidade Federal de Viçosa

Mestre em Economia Aplicada pela Universidade Federal de Viçosa.

Ian Michael Trotter, Universidade Federal de Viçosa

Doutor em Economia Aplicada pela Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV). Professor do Departamento de Economia da UFV.

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